COLBY HALL
The trading of players is a huge part of fantasy football, unless you’re Don (3 trades in 11 years) or Molly (3 trades in 10 years) and no one understands this more than Colby. Sure, others have done more trades. I lead the league with 32 career trades and Matt is the champ per season, averaging 2.55 per season, but let’s face a couple of facts. My numbers are obviously bloated because of my years in the league,but I’m also a desperate trader, one of those guys who just throws a dozen trades at the wall to see what sticks when my season is crumbling. When it comes to Matt, sure he averages more trades than anyone, but Matt is one of those guys who trades just for the hell of it. If you get him just thinking about doing a trade, he can’t get it out of his mind.
When it comes to Colby though, you know every trade he offers and/or performs as come from a long, deep thought process. He’s calculated every number possible, researched every site imaginable, accounted for injuries, schedule, wind, his wife’s menstrual cycle. Everything.
The reality is, Colby has needed to trade to produce in this league. First and foremost, for the first five years in this league he didn’t draft his team, Jeff did. Often, the second the draft was over, Colby was already pouring over the rosters, looking for a deal.
However, since 2008 Colby has been drafting his own team and more often than not he’s struggled to walk out of those drafts with great teams, thus the trading has continued.
So the question is, does all of Colby’s trading make his teams better?
Now there is no exact science to determine if trades are responsible for making Mr. Hall better or worse. You have to take into account free agent pick ups (which probably play a bigger part), injuries and scheduling (since most trades happen during bye weeks, it might minimize their impacts). However, for our purpose today, we will ignore those things and just focus on the simple numbers.
I went back through the years and went to the moment in season where Colby made his final trade (The exception is 2006. That year his final trade was week 10, but it was backups for a backup and had zero impact on his or the other team). From that point, I looked at the scoring and W-L record from before the final trade to after.
First though, some fun numbers to chew on.
COLBY TRADE TOTALS: 20 in 8 years (2.50 per season) FAVORITE WEEK TO TRADE: Week 6 (four times) SECOND FAVORITE WEEK: Week 10, one week prior to trade deadline (3 times) FAVORITE TRADE PARTNER: Matt (7 times) SECOND FAVORITE PARTNER: Burrier (6 times)
Okay, let’s get to the good stuff. Did Colby actually improve after completing his last (sometimes only) trade of the season? The simple answer is…YES.
On average, Colby played 5.13 games prior to his final trade. In those games he won just 36-percent of his games (15-27 overall). In those games he averaged 1,241 PPG (not terrible, about average).
Now after pulling off his last trade, Colby’s winning percentage jumps to 54-percent (43-32). His scoring also bounces up to 1,334 PPG (that’s a 94 PPG improvement).
Of course one could argue that Colby had one great trade in one great season that brings up his average. Fair enough, let’s look at each season individually.
Overall, in eight seasons based on points, Colby’s teams improved in five, got worse in two and in 2010, remained basically the same. When it comes to wins and loses, his teams improved in six, got worse in one. 2005 I won’t count, because his final trade was in week two and the “before trade” sample is just one game.
BELOW are the individual seasons:
2004 SEASON Before Final Trade: 0-2, 1,265 PPG After Final Trade: 6-7, 1,462 PPG
2005 SEASON Before Final Trade: 1-4, 1,248 PPG After Final Trade: 7-4, 1,394 PPG
2006 SEASON Before Final Trade: 1-0, 1,075 PPG After Final Trade: 8-5, 1,403 PPG
2007 SEASON Before Final Trade: 2-7, 1,002 PPG After Final Trade: 2-2, 1,123 PPG
2008 SEASON Before Final Trade: 4-5, 1,300 PPG After Final Trade: 3-3, 1,113 PPG
2009 SEASON Before Final Trade: 3-2, 1,255 PPG After Final Trade: 3-5, 1,120 PPG
2010 SEASON Before Final Trade: 3-2, 1,255 PPG After Final Trade: 7-3, 1,362 PPG
2011 SEASON Before Final Trade: 1-4, 1,223 PPG After Final Trade: 7-3, 1,387 PPG
*** One final thought *** Three times in the last four years, the person to do a final trade with Colby has gone on to win the championship that year (Matt in 2007, 2009 and Bob in 2010, 2011). I guess it pays off to trade with Colby.
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