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Rob Murray

2017 MID-SEASON REPORT

Below are my preseason rankings. How did I do? How do you even judge? Can’t use wins and loses; those are the butterfaces of fantasy football. Bob is 6-1, but would be 3-4 with Don’s schedule. By the way, love that “butterfaces” is an actual word.

Points are a good metric, but they can be deceiving, but he has a losing record to five teams in breakdown. That’s what I look at when trying to determine how good a team really is…breakdown.

Using breakdown to judge my preseason rankings, I either nailed or am just one off on half the league. The big misses are Calderon, who I had second, but he’s tied for 10th in breakdown and Bob, who I had 10th, but he’s 4th in breakdown. Two others are flukish. Griff was fourth in the preseason rankings, but injuries derailed his season and now he’s just tied for 10th in breakdown. Me, I put myself sixth, but in breakdown, I’m currently third, yet I have just two wins. That’s balance, baby.

MY PRESEASON RANKINGS:

#1 OH IT’S HAPPENING SWEETHEART (MATT) Nailed it. Although, a moron with zero knowledge of football could have saw this coming a mile away.

#2 THE DICK-TATERS (RICH C) Sure, he can’t stop shooting himself in the foot, but there is no excuse for this team to be tied with Don in the breakdown.

#3 HUNT FOR THE GOLDEN JOHNSON (ROB M) I feel good about this. I raved about Hunt and he’s looked fantastic. Rob is currently second in breakdown.

#4 TRUCK NUTS (GRIFF) Sorry, not even a brilliant mind like mine can predict injuries to David Johnson and Greg Olsen.

#5 TUCKER’S MY BITCH (COLBY) Currently, Colby is 6th in breakdown, 6th in points, so I wasn’t too far off.

#6  REVENGE OF THE  ‘BURBS (ROBIO) I put myself smack in the middle and I could argue I was right on. Sure, I’m only 2-5, but I’m third in breakdown and fifth in points and I’m the 8-seed.

#7 1/4 LBrs (JEFF) Mr. Greenblatt has been shrewd on the wire this season, which is why he’s doing a little better than projected (fifth in breakdown).

#8 BROWN ‘N SERVIN IT (ERIC) Eric is only 7th in breakdown, despite being third in points. Fact is, he’s had more bad games than good games.

#9 TRUMP? (RICH C) He’s 8th in breakdown, tied for 8th in points. These may be the best predictions I’ve ever had.

#10 DICK MCBALLFARTS (BOB) Well, I always miss one badly. Bob has worked the free agent wire well and benefitted from playing the easiest schedule so far. Oddly enough, he’s fourth in breakdown, but just 10th in points scored.

#11 MOLLY’S LIPS (MARC) Not even I could have imagined how bad this team would be.

#12 ZEKE SQUAD (DON) You’re welcome, for inviting Marc into the league, so you could finally avoid being the worst.

LOOKING AHEAD: 

VOTED MOST LIKELY TO WIN IT ALL


OH IT’S HAPPENING SWEETHEART It’s most likely going to happen…unless teams can take advantage of it early in the postseason. Right now, Matt is unstoppable. He has a legit shot to break the regular season scoring title, but there are no bye weeks in Robioland playoffs, so he has to win three games, just like the rest of us. More on that in a minute.

Matt rides five true stars (Wentz, Bell, Gurley, Ertz, Seahawks D). Those five alone will beat most of the teams in this league, but this is not a flawless team. His receivers could soon be one of the worst duos in the league. Jeffery is only 29th, as he’s taken a backseat to both Ertz and Agholor; the latter has 19 less targets, but 12 more yards and two more scores. Yet, the bigger concern is Adams. The Packers wideout doesn’t have Aaron Rodgers anymore and Brett Hundley barely looks like he’s capable of completing a pass for more than 10 yards without stumbling over himself. Something tells me the Packers become a run team out of the bye-week.

If Matt’s going to get tripped up, it’s going to be either in the quarterfinals or the semifinals, because his stars have to deal with a ton of tough matchups.

Carson Wentz and Zach Ertz, who will be playing in Seattle in week 13, will have to stay on the west coast and face a tough Rams front seven in week 14. Next, they must travel back across the country and play a Giants DST that can still defend when healthy.

Le’Veon Bell will face a the Ravens, who typically can stuff the run. Bell has just one 100-yard game against Baltimore, dating back to 2013 and he’s been held to under 70 yards five times in that span. Then next week, he faces the Patriots, who haven’t been great this year, but you know A) they are going to figure it out and B) Bell has never rushed for 100 yards against the Patriots. Lastly, Gurley will face the Eagles in week fourteen; i.e. the Eagles who are the second best run defense in the league. Then he must travel up to Seattle to face the Legion of Boom.

Even with those matchups, those players are still going to get some points, so it’s not like Matt’s going to crash and score 800 points, but this will open up the door for a lower seed to pull off what could be the greatest upset, maybe since 2008, when Don beat me in the title game. That team of mine, like Matt’s now, featured five All-Robio starters, including three first teamers and had produced the weekly high score in six of the last nine games. That team had also broken 1,500 in nine of the eleven games prior to the title game. Yet, in that final matchup, I knew my team was in trouble based on their matchups and they barely hit 1,000 in a loss to Don.

VOTED MOST LIKELY TO LOSE IN TITLE GAME


HUNT FOR THE GOLDEN JOHNSON So far, Rob has been pretty fortunate to be a 6-1 team. Both his RB2 and WR2 have struggled to put up a ton of points, his tight end (Jimmy Graham) took a few games to get rolling and outside of Nelson Agholor, a player he grabbed just last week, he hasn’t had any real game changing add/drops.

It’s certainly helps his opponents haven’t really shown up, as they are 10th in points scored against, but we probably owe him this, since he’s the all-time leader in opponents points against.

Currently, Rob’s got three All-Robio talents in Tom Brady, Kareem Hunt and A.J. Green. The Bengals WR is fourth in points among receivers, although he’s relied on the big game, as he’s failed to hit 150 in four of his six games. Brady has played well, although in the back of Rob’s mind, he has to continue to say, “the dude’s 40.”

Hunt has been the league MVP. His 2,334 fantasy points leads everyone, including quarterbacks. He’s already got 1,000 total yards and is on pace to take down Eric Dickerson’s rookie record of 2,212 total yards, but I worry about him hitting some kind of rookie wall as team’s will begin to figure him out. Also, let’s not forget, he hasn’t rushed for a touchdown in a month.

Yet, for Masterson to have any chance to turn a lot of wins into a championship, he needs a second RB and second WR. Joe Mixon appears to be the feature back now in Cincy. I wouldn’t worry about his seven carries against the Steelers. I think the offensive coordinator hit the panic button when they fell behind in the third quarter. Still, despite getting 18-17-15 carries in weeks 3-6, Mixon never came close to sniffing 100 yards and he’s scored just one touchdown. The fact is, great runners turn good gains into great gains. Right now, Mixon delivers what the offensive line gives him and nothing more.

Lastly, at WR2, Rob kept Terrelle Pryor to be his second WR1, but he’s become a major bust. After receiving 11 targets in week one, he’s never seen more than five in a game. Fact is, Cousins would rather throw to Reed, Thompson and Doctson. Hell, Vernon Davis gets more love. Agholor has proven to be a nice add, turning short passes into long gains (15.2 yards per catch) and touchdowns (four). I certainly would take him over Jeffery right now. In the end though, a healthy Golden Tate is probably Rob’s best option if and when he comes back.

The beauty of how this season is playing out is that Masterson really needs just one more win to clinch a playoff spot and he has a legit shot to earn double digit victories for the first time in his career. The key stretch actually began last week against Eric, where he faces five straight playoff teams. In week ten, he faces Matt, but he’ll face a Matt team without all of his Eagles (four starters on a bye).

VOTED MOST  LIKELY TO EARN THE #2 SEED AND BE AN UNDERDOG


DICK MCBALLFARTS For whatever reason, when teams face Bob, they just don’t want to show up. Seven weeks in and only one opponent has scored over 1,270 points. His last two have failed to break a grand, as they are averaging just 1,136 points per contest. That would currently be the 21st lowest point total by a group of opponents in league history.

Yet, let’s not pretend Bob is floating around on a pile of unicorns and luck. This is the same team that’s lost his entire starting backfield to injury…in the same week. Dalvin Cook was a huge loss, as he was aiming for an All-Robio and let’s not forget, Chris Carson was the feature back in Seattle. These are huge loses. On top of that, Julio Jones has been banged up and missed a game and Cam Newton has been awful for most of the season. Yet…Bob is still Bob and is 6-1 is damn impressive, as he is easily about to continue his record setting 12th straight trip to the postseason. Jesus, that’s a crazy stat.

How did we get here?

First, he’s played the wire like a champ. He landed an All-Robio quarterback in Deshaun Watson and keeps finding ways to fill that one running back spot. Now heading into the stretch, it looks like Alvin Kamara, despite not being the lead guy in New Orleans, is capable of putting up enough points to remain a starter.

Bob can do one back for now, as he has a pair of low-end WR1s to go along with Julio. Crabtree has been the best option in Oakland, up until last Thursday and Chris Hogan is on pace for 900 yards and double-digit scores. For kicks, Bob also has the league’s best defense (Jaguars) and that matters when every point counts.

Bob has now won six straight and one of those W’s was against Matty. Next up, is Don, who he has beaten 11 times in their last 12 meetings, dating back to 2008. In week nine and ten, Bob will face Masterson and Eric and those two weeks will decide who really earns the 2-seed.

VOTED MOST LIKELY TO EARN A SECOND HALF COLLAPSE


BROWN ‘N SERVIN IT Antonio Brown has been great, Drew Brees has been good and Jordan Howard has been fine, but all three could be better, right? Yes, Brown is the #1 receiver in fantasy right now and he’s on pace for 1,750 yards, but he’s only scored three times. Someone has good has Brown, should easily hit double digit touchdowns in a season. That’s been missing.

Brees has played well, but he’s not putting up the gaudy numbers he once did. He’s on pace for 800 yards less than he threw last year and eight less touchdowns. He’s currently ranked 8th among all quarterbacks in fantasy, which is fine, but just not what we’ve come to expect from Drew Brees.

Last year, Jordan Howard averaged 5.2 yards per carry and had over 1,600 total yards, despite not beginning the year as a starter. This season, he struggled out of the gate as the Bears backfield resembled a timeshare. However, he’s played better of late, despite only producing a 4.0 yards per carry average and if his head coach had his way, he would throw zero passes in a game.

So yes, step one…get the stars to be more starry. Second step, need more stars. Stefon Diggs was an All-Robio wideout, but has missed nearly all of three games and will probably miss more due to a groin injury. This can’t linger. With a healthy Diggs, Eric has the best receiving duo in the league. Now that’s not the same as saying, “best running back duo,” but it’s certainly will help his chances to advance deep in the playoffs.

On top of that, he really needs to solve his Flex position. Marshawn Lynch was supposed to fill that spot, but he hasn’t been very good. In fact, he’s been bad. After rushing for 76 yards in week one, he has just 190 yards in his last six games. Thanks to a pair of 300-point games, Larry Fitzgerald looked like he could be the third member of a wicked trio, but with Carson Palmer down, it’s hard to see him doing anything. Granted, maybe that shit backup quarterback will come in and just toss 15 balls to Fitz each game. That would be good. However, the two guys the Cardinals have are true dog shit. I read a stat somewhere that said of the last 77 quarterbacks to throw for 500 passes in their career, Drew Stanton and Blaine Gabbert are ranked 75th and 76th, so even if they wanted to, I don’t think they can throw it to Fitzgerald. But yes, don’t sign Kaepernick.

Outside of that, Eric has Javorius Allen and Frank Gore, but those guys are stuck in timeshares on crap offenses. Of course, the x-factor could be Chris Thompson, who remains a top-10 fantasy back. He’s got the tools to be a fantasy stud, but like I said during my Tuesday Thoughts, as long as Fat Rob Kelley is healthy, Thompson will not get the touches to be a RB1.

Looking ahead, with four wins already, it’s tough to see Eric missing the playoffs. Not with all our 2-5 teams, but he’s got a tough back half of the schedule. He’s already faced four of the teams that are 2-5 or Marc.

He’s already faced Masterson and lost. He’s got an underrated 2-5 Colby next, then it’s three straight playoff teams with Calderon, Bob and Matt. He gets Griff again in week 12, who could potentially have David Johnson back that week, then another playoff team.

VOTED MOST LIKELY TO SURPRISE A FEW PEEPS DOWN THE ROAD


1/4 LBrs At 4-3, fourth in scoring, it looks like the good times have continued for Greenblatt. Melvin Gordon has put up a couple of monster games, he’s made some good decisions on the wire with Cameron Brate and Will Fuller and the team has avoided the injury bug that’s been biting the fuck out of the rest of us.

Yet, when you dive deep onto his roster, you realize it could be so much better. Let’s start at the top at quarterback. Jameis “no means yes” Winston. He’s had his moments, due to the fact the Bucs have been behind a lot, but he needs to be consistent. Part of the problem is turnovers and near turnovers. He’s thrown four interceptions in six games and has fumbled a stunning seven times. Sure he’s technically only lost one, but they still kill drives. With his weapons, Winston should easily be a top-five fantasy quarterback at this stage.

At running back, outside of back-to-back 400-point fantasy games, Gordon has been okay, relying on a ton of touches. He’s catching the ball in bunches, but continues to struggle to average four yards per carry. Lamar Miller has been worse. Despite getting nearly 19 touches per game, he’s only averaging 3.8 yards per carry and has just two scores. He’s broken 200 just once.

Yet, the biggest shock of the year has been the play of Amari Cooper. Until his 540-point effort this past week (against me), he was easily the biggest bust in fantasy football. He was struggling to get off the line, couldn’t get open and even when he was targeted, he couldn’t catch the damn ball. He’s Jeff’s first round pick. He needs to play like one for Jeff to make a deep playoff run.

If those four guys can just amp up their game even just a little bit, then Jeff is a tier two team alongside those non-Matt 6-1 teams. Looking ahead, Jeff should easily win his next two and he’ll be favorite in four of his last six games at the very least.

VOTED MOST LIKELY TO BE LUCKY TO REACH SEMIS


TRUMP? I’ll be honest, I’m still not sure if this is a good team. I mean, Rich is 8th in scoring, tied for 7th in breakdown, but has four wins because his opponents are 10th in scoring. In reality, this team is about as good as expected.

Devonta Freeman was expected to be a top-10 running back and he’s just that. Rob Gronkowski was expected to be at or near the top among tight ends and he’s just that. Dak Prescott is much further along in fantasy than I expected, so that’s a bonus.

The problem Burrier is having is at the RB2 spot and at receiver. Jay Ajayi has been stuck on a horrid Miami offense and just can’t get things going. He’s broken 100 yards rushing twice, but only because the Fins gave him the ball 28 times (122 yards) and 26 times (130 yards). He’s twice gotten the ball 23+ times and failed to rush for 80 yards. That’s horrible. He has zero touchdowns on the year and he can’t catch (just 10 receptions on the season).

At wide out, none of Rich’s receivers have cracked the top-20. Fatty Benjamin is the best of the bunch, but I’m using the word “best” loosely. He’s on pace for under 1,000 yards and has just one score on the season. He’s broken 200 fantasy points just once.

Rich has struggled hard to fill the hole at WR2. In fact, his WR2 spot may be one of the worst point getting spots in this league. Just look at the numbers. After Randall Cobb scored 170 in week one as Rich’s second receiver, the WR2 has averaged a brutal 35 fantasy points per game. Read that again, 35 points per game. No receiver since week two has broken 60 fantasy points. This week he added Kenny Still, which could prove the be the difference maker. He scored 290 in week seven as a free agent and put up decent numbers against the Ravens Thursday night.

This of course goes back to the bone-headed decision to draft Christian McCaffrey in round one. The rookie has only rushed for 114 yards (and no scores), but has been one of the better receiving receivers. He’s been targeted a league high 59 times, catching a league high 44 receptions. Still, he’s on pace to barely break 1,000 total yards and about five scores. That’s not first-round numbers, but they are solid for a bench player, which is where he sits most weeks. Just imagine how good this team would be if A.J. Green was the pick.

With four wins already in the bag, Burrier really only needs two more to reach the playoffs and the opportunity is there. After facing 6-1 Matt this week, he has three straight against Me (2-5), Marc (0-7) and Don (2-5). If he can’t win those, he doesn’t belong in the postseason.

VOTE MOST LIKELY DEFENDING CHAMP TO LOSE IN THE QUARTERS


THE DICK-TATERS Despite the presence of Leonard Fournette, the defending champ has been one of the more disappointing teams. Fact is, outside Fournette and the Vikings defense, no one is playing up to par on this team.

Matt Ryan has gone from league MVP to a guy who currently has less fantasy points than Blake Bortles. DeMarco Murray was All-Robio last year, but this year, he’s barely in the top-20 and won’t come close to 1,000 yards rushing.

DeAndre Hopkins is currently 7th and that’s good, but it feels almost fake. He has just 37 catches, for barely over 10 yards per catch, despite the fact the Texans are lighting it up. He’s benefitting from touchdowns. In his last two games, he has just six catches, but four went for scores.

Lastly, Doug Baldwin continues to be maddening. It’s hard to think of a more inconsistent player. In his three good games, Baldwin has 23 catches for 260 yards and two scores. In his three worst games, he has just 13 catches for 116 yards and no scores.

Hunter Henry has been a nice addition, Dion Lewis is starting to get carries in Boston and there’s still hope for Jordan Reed, but does anyone fear this team? No. Not unless the Falcons offense figures out their passing game, Murray gets more carries and if Calderon can get out of his own way (12th in coaching rating).

While Rich does have four wins, he’s faced the easiest schedule. He’s already taken on 2-5 Griff, 2-5 Don, 2-5 Robio and 0-7 Marc and he won’t see any of them again.

Five of his last six opponents are all playoff teams and the one that isn’t (Colby), has outscored him and is better in the breakdown. He may not be the favorite again this season. Granted, I think he finds two more wins and sneaks in, but it’s tough seeing any kind of repeat.

VOTED MUCH BETTER THAN THEIR RECORD INDICATES


BEEN NEATOCK’D Yep, I’ve officially been Neatock’D. I was offered Carson Wentz for Jordy Nelson by Matt in the preseason and I turned him down. Now Wentz is an All-Robio quarterback, while my All-Robio quarterback goes out for the year, which kills me double because he was throwing the ball to what should have been my All-Robio receiver Jordy Nelson. Thanks, Matt. CBS needs to offer up a setting that lets me block Neatock from ever offering me a trade.

Obviously, losing Rodgers was huge. In the process, I’ve traded away a top-five defense and a decent RB2 to get two new ones on my roster, which will allow me to play the one with the best matchups.

Of course, decision-making hasn’t been my thing in 2017. I’ve cost myself over 800 fantasy points sitting and starting the wrong RB/WR/TE.

At running back, I’m okay. Carlos Hyde has a outside shot of being a third-team All-Robio back, but that 49ers offense has looked bad. Moving forward, Aaron Jones should be my feature back alongside Hyde. In three weeks as a starter, he has produced two 300-point games. Of course, I benched him for one of them, because…Rob.

With Rodgers injury, at least I can safely start Dez Bryant and Tyreek Hill. The former has played better lately, but he has yet to break 200 and it’s unlikely he’s going to just turn into a great receiver again. Hill has big games, but he can also be shutdown (he’s been held under 50 yards three times). He’s currently the third best receiver in fantasy, but he has yet to have a bye.

Off the wire, other than Jones and McKinnon (who I traded away for Carr), I’ve added a decent defense (Eagles) and a tight end on the rise (Evan Engram).

For me, no more decisions. Pick a starting lineup and go with it. No more fucking around. Despite being 2-5, I’ve scored well (5th in the league), so I currently hold the 8-seed. Best yet, there are wins to get on my schedule. I got four matchups against the four teams all currently out of the playoffs; those are 2-5 Colby, 2-5 Griff, 2-5 Don and 0-7 Marc. I also get Burrier in two weeks without Gronk. The only true rough spot is the fact I will have to face Neatock for a second time in week twelve.

VOTED MOST LIKELY NON-PLAYOFF TEAM TO MAKE PLAYOFFS


TUCKER’S MY BITCH Like myself, Colby has scored well enough to win, yet hasn’t. His only two wins were against Don and Marc. That’s like a chick bragging about the only two guys she’s banged were Jeff and Murray.

He did managed to break 1,500 in both those wins, so it proves that there are points to get on this roster. It starts at the quarterback spot, as Colby is set with a pair of studs. Russell Wilson has struggled in a couple of games, but he’s also put up 300+ points, 400+ points and 500+ points. Yet, oddly enough, Alex Smith, who Colby has rotated into his starting lineup, is actually the top quarterback in fantasy, throwing for 15 touchdowns and zero interceptions. That’s impressive.

Colby also has two other stars, although LeSean McCoy isn’t dominating yet. He’s rushing for only 3.4 yards per carry and has just two touchdowns, but he continues to get plenty of touches. At tight end, Travis Kelce would probably be the top tight end, if it wasn’t for a concussion. Currently, he’s second in receptions and third in yards. If he was a receiver, he’d be 10th in the league right now.

The problems have been at RB2 and wide receivers. I’ve already talked about the problems at RB2. In his five loses, his second running back has averaged just 85 yards per game. Right now, I don’t see a good solution on his roster. Tevin Coleman is a consistent low-end RB2, capable of putting up a 250-point, which will make you start him the following week, only to watch him score 50.

Tarik Cohen seemed like he could be a option, but he’s at best a timeshare who will from time-to-time deliver a big play (like a 70-yard reception in week seven). Orleans Darkwa came out of nowhere to produce back-to-back 200-point games in weeks five and six, but can we really trust any Giants’ back?

I think in the end, it has to be Ameer Abdullah or nothing. He’s the one true feature back, although he’s not much of a feature. Averaging just 3.8 yards per carry, he’s scored just once behind a poor offensive line. Here’s hoping the Lions solved some shit on the bye-week.

At wide receiver, Colby simply lacks anything that resembles greatness. Combined, Hilton and Garcon average 255 points per game and even those stats are jacked up by a pair of 300+ games by Hilton. Outside those two games, he’s failed to hit 100 in his five other contests. Unless Hilton gets a healthy Luck back, I don’t see his fortune changing.

Garcon isn’t bad. In fact, he might break 1,000 yards, but he’s currently 17th among all receivers and he just got a new rookie quarterback thrown into the mix. That can’t be good.

Colby has gone just 3-11 in the seasons for seven weeks the past two years. Of course, last season he turned it around, just missing the playoffs. Can he pull that type of comeback again? I’m not so sure.

Fact is, just look what’s remaining on his schedule. He still has to face all the teams that are currently first, second, third and fourth in the standings (combined 22-6 record). His easiest matchup might be against Calderon in week 11. Yet, his chance for the playoffs may be decided in week ten, when he faces me. Obviously Griff and Don are still in the mix and Calderon could falter, but that game against me could decide the 8-seed.

VOTED MOST LIKELY TO WEAR A TANK-TOP IN PUBLIC


ZEKE SQUAD Yep, Don’s 2-5 and back near the basement where he spent both his high school years and most of the last half decade in fantasy. Yet, should we count him out?

The answer is, no. Hell, he’s facing 6-1 Bob this week and favored by over 100 points. Granted, he’ll probably find a way to lose, because Don hasn’t beaten Bob since he was still married, but that still won’t knock him out of this competition.

With Adrian Peterson off to the desert, Don suddenly has a dangerous backfield. Mark Ingram has 670 combined fantasy points in his last two games.

Meanwhile, Zeke Elliot, who some claim is not producing, has done just that, except for one bad game against Denver in week two. In his first five, cancel that one game, he’s averaging 298 points per game and that doesn’t even include his 618 fantasy points in week seven. Of course, Don needs all the points he can get because his receivers have been terrible.

In seven games (14 starts) only one wide receiver has managed to break 200 (Jarvis Landry in week seven). Now he’s starting Jermaine Kearse, who I didn’t even realize was still in the league.

Don also starts a pair of Redskins. Vernon Davis has been solid over the last month, even getting more targets than Jordan Reed. Currently, Kirk Cousins has been a top-six quarterback, but it sure hasn’t felt that way. He just doesn’t toss the ball down the field anymore, instead dumping it off to running backs, tight ends and slot receivers.

For Don, his season will come down to whether Elliot will ever have to serve his suspension. If he goes out, Don is toast. Yes, he has Alfred Morris, but Morris is no Elliot. However, if Zeke can stay in the game, Don has a favorable schedule. He still has 2-5 Griff, 0-7 Marc and 2-5 Robio left to play.

VOTED MOST LIKELY TO TEASE, BUT NOT PUT OUT


TRUCK NUTS Griff’s season went south early, when he lost both David Johnson and Greg Olsen within the season’s first two weeks. Since then, he has been unable to fill in those holes.

Instead, Griff has gone three wide and it’s not a bad threesome. Those three are currently ranked 5th (Evans), 10th (Allen) and 20th (Thomas). Allen has been the biggest surprise, finally staying healthy. His 67 targets are second behind only Antonio Brown, although he needs to score more (has just one touchdown).

Yet, as has always been true in this league, wide receivers aren’t running backs. You need backs to win. At the very least, Doug Martin came back from suspension. He’s managed a pair of 200-point games in just three weeks, so that’s good.

In the end, the next three weeks will decide Griff’s season. Over the next three weeks, he faces 2-5 Robio, 0-7 Marc and 2-5 Don. Anything short of 3-0 in that stretch is trouble, because his final three will be tough; 6-1 Bob, 4-3 Eric and 6-1 Don. Unless David Johnson comes back early, I don’t see Griff pulling this one out.

VOTED MOST LIKELY TO DRAFT TODD GURLEY WITH THE FIRST OVERALL PICK IN NEXT YEAR’S DRAFT


MOLLY’S LIPS Okay, let’s ask it. Will Marc go 0-13? Right now, it looks possible. He came out of the draft with a bad team that just got worse when players like Odell Beckham (for the year) and Powell got hurt. He hasn’t scored over 1,000 in his last three games and he won’t ever sniff 1,500.

Yet, I think he’ll win at least one. Everyone gets lucky once in Robioland. Right now, he has two solid players. Brandin Cooks is an All-Robio wide receiver, who is only getting better as Tom Brady grows more comfortable with him.

Second, I’m a big Alex Collins fan. He’s elusive and as the season goes on, I think he’s going to start carrying a bigger load. The Ravens won’t completely bench Allen and West, but 15 carries is all this kid needs.

After that, not much else. Big Ben is toast in fantasy. He has yet to crack 300 fantasy points in a game and that’s unacceptable in this league. I think grabbing Jerick McKinnon from me was a decent move. He has a pair of 200-point games. He’s got to deal with Murray getting his touches, but he’s a improvement over anyone else Marc could throw out there.

So where will that first win come from? Could be this week. Jeff has all his starters, but six of his starters are on the road, which could be trouble. In two weeks, he faces 2-5 Griff, who will be down Rivers/Allen. Burrier in week ten hasn’t dominated this year. In week 11, Marc faces me and this is just the kind of game I lose. In week 12, Don and his 2-5 record comes to town. If Elliot is suspended, watch out. Then in week 13, Marc takes on…Neatock. Ignore that one.

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