One has to wonder if Don’s playoff streak would have continued if he would have kept Matt Ryan in the fourth round last year.
The 2013 keepers are due in roughly two weeks, so let’s take a moment and look back to last year’s decisions. Let’s see if you made the right ones.
DON
CATEGORY ONE: He kept no one, but he should have kept quarterback Matt Ryan in the fourth, who not only finished sixth among all arms, he had a fantastic playoff run.
CATEGORY TWO: He kept Fred Jackson in the sixth round, but after F-Jax got hurt, he quickly became an afterthought in the Bills offense. Too bad, because Don had a pair of players who finished as third-team All-Robio players. He could have kept either C.J. Spiller or Vincent Jackson in the sixth round.
CATEGORY THREE: He kept no one and that was the best option.
JEFF
CATEGORY ONE: He passed on keeping Steve Johnson and instead just drafted him there. That was Jeff’s best keeper option, so he made the right call.
CATEGORY TWO: He kept in the 7th round what he thought was an elite tight end in Aaron Hernandez. What he got was a murderer who couldn’t stay healthy and finished 31st among all tight ends. Instead, he should have kept Reggie Bush in the sixth round. The Dolphins RB didn’t set the world on fire, but he did finish 17th among backs, so at worst, he’s a worthy second RB.
CATEGORY THREE: He kept Darren Sproles in the 13th and it certainly felt like a steal, but the Saints offense fell flat and Sproles went from 9th best back in 2011 to 28th best back in 2012. Sproles could return to his 2011 form this year, so I would probably argue he was the best pick, but Jeff could have kept Jermaine Gresham in the 10th. He did crack the top-10 among all tight ends.
MOLLY
CATEGORY ONE: Molly kept Aaron Rodgers in the first round and although his numbers were down, he did finish 5th among all arms and was her best option in category one by a lot.
CATEGORY TWO: The decision came down to two players, Jimmy Graham in the 6th round or Victor Cruz in the 7th. Both players saw their numbers dip some in 2012, but Graham did still finish third among all tight ends. Still, I think Cruz was the better keeper. He finished 12th among receivers and was actually playing better down the stretch than Graham.
CATEGORY THREE: She kept nobody and there was no one worth keeping.
ERIC
CATEGORY ONE: Eric kept Matt Forte in the 5th round. He didn’t have the best year (injuries hurt and he finished 15th among backs) and was traded away by season’s end. This trade helped him land Tom Brady who lead him to the finals. Of course Eric probably should have kept Peyton Manning, who he redshirted the year before and could have kept in the 4th round. Manning ended up earning third-team All-Robio. While Brady finished one spot higher, the difference is, Eric could have had Manning all season long and potentially challenge for the league record in points.
CATEGORY TWO: Eric kept Steve Smith in the 8th round (like Forte, he landed Smith in a late-season dump trade), but failed to live up to the hype. He finished the season 18th among all wide receivers and was eventually passed by Reggie Wayne for a starting spot.
CATEGORY THREE: Eric kept the Bears defense and they didn’t disappoint, finishing 1st among all defense/special teams.
COLBY
CATEGORY ONE: Colby had a rough season, but I’m not sure a different category one player would have made a difference. He kept Tom Brady in the second round and he put up solid numbers, although he seem to score a lot more once Colby traded him. His only other real option was Frank Gore in the second round. He finished 9th among all backs, but I’d still would have kept Brady.
CATEGORY TWO: It’s category two where championships are made. If you can find an elite keeper in rounds 6-10, you’re in great shape. Colby thought he had one in Ben Green-Ellis, but he failed to catch fire and finished 18th among all backs. However, his other options (Laurent Robinson, Alex Smith and Pierre Thomas) were all major flops.
CATEGORY THREE: The battle in the third category was between Antonio Brown in the 11th or Hakeem Nicks in round 14. In the end, they both sucked. Colby kept Nicks and he could only finish the season as the 49th best receiver (thanks to his health). However, he’s still better than Brown who finished 56th. Who he should have kept was Lance Moore. No, he wasn’t a stud, but he did finish 17th among all receivers.
ROB M
CATEGORY ONE: Rob didn’t want to do it, but he did it anyhow, keeping Chris Johnson in round one. He did end up finishing 12th among all backs, but it wasn’t a pretty 12th. Instead, he could have had Roddy White in round one. He finished 9th among all receivers and had a fantastic playoff run. He also could have had Ahmad Bradshaw. He had some mid-season health issues, but he only finished one spot behind Johnson and would have only cost Rob a third round pick.
CATEGORY TWO: He kept Julio Jones in the 6th round and while the Falcons receiver can be maddeningly inconsistent, he still finished 13th among receivers. That was Rob’s best option in category two.
CATEGORY THREE: Rob kept Dustin Keller and he flopped. Unable to stay healthy, Rob cut him, only to trade for him later in the season. He was Rob’s best option in the final category.
RICH B
CATEGORY ONE: He kept Drew Brees with the fourth pick in the draft. Stupid. He could have just drafted him in that exact same spot and then kept Dez Bryant in the fourth round. The Cowboys wide receiver was one of the best down the stretch and finished 8th on the season.
CATEGORY TWO: He had no choice but to keep Rob Gronkowski. The fact is, of the six other players Rich could have kept in that category, not a single one was a starter in 2012. Anyhow, Gronkowski finished as the number one tight end again, but was out for Rich’s playoff run due to injury.
CATEGORY THREE: Rich decided to go with Jeremy Maclin in round 12. Because of injuries to both Maclin and Michael Vick, the decision did not pay off. He finished 47th among all receivers. He should have kept Torrey Smith in round 14. He finished 16th among all receivers.
RICH C
CATEGORY ONE: Calderon kept Calvin Johnson in round two and he basically had one of the greatest seasons ever in Robioland by a receiver. So there’s no way I could argue for a different pick. Not really, but I’m going to try (and fail). Rich also could have kept Brandon Marshall one round later. He finished third among receivers. On average, Calvin averaged 18 more points per game than Marshall. In the end though, it wouldn’t have made a difference. Since Rich’s third-round pick was just three picks removed from his 2nd round pick, odds are he would have still drafted Eli, thus he would have lost those 18ppg.
CATEGORY TWO: Rich decided to go with a long shot and draft Michael Bush in the ninth (who was backing up Matt Forte). We heard a lot of talk about two 1,000-yard rushers, but Bush just missed it…by 589 yards. Instead, Rich should have kept a defense. He had a choice of two, the Broncos (round nine) and the Seahawks (round ten). Well, the Broncos did finish second among all D’s, Rich ended up picking them up off the wire, so with the benefit of hindsight, let’s say the Seahawks D would have been the best keeper. They finished 8th, but down the stretch, especially at home, they were deadly.
CATEGORY THREE: He kept DeMarco Murray, who disappointed again because he couldn’t stay on the field. He ended up finishing 37th on the season and on Rich’s bench. Still, since he has one more year of keeper eligibility, he was the best keeper option for Rich.
GRIFF
CATEGORY ONE: Griff kept Wes Welker in the third and although his 2012 numbers were not as good as his 2011 numbers, he still managed to finish 10th; pretty damn good for a third round pick.
CATEGORY TWO: He had two solid options with A.J. Green in the 8th and Arian Foster in the 10th. He kept the latter and it’s hard to argue that was a bad decision. Despite some early season injuries, he finished 3rd among all backs. However, I will say this. Green finished second among all receivers and actually out-scored Foster by 18 points.
CATEGORY THREE: He kept no one and there was no one worth keeping.
ROBIO
CATEGORY ONE: I kept no one and ended up drafting Roddy White with my first pick in the draft. It’s hard to argue with that strategy since White is the man most responsible for my playoff run. However, I probably could have avoided my mid-season collapse if I had kept Adrian Peterson in round one for one final year.
CATEGORY TWO: I kept Marshall Lynch in the 7th round (thank you Matt) and it paid off. He finished 6th among all backs. After him, there was no one else.
CATEGORY THREE: I kept Darren McFadden and despite missing a ton of time yet again, he was my starting back when I won my title. There were no better options.
MATT
CATEGORY ONE: He kept Greg Jennings in round three and the man went down early and didn’t even finish in the top-100 among receivers. In fact, four of Matt’s category one options (MJD, Jennings, Holmes and Grant) failed to finish the regular season in 2012, so there were no good keeper options.
CATEGORY TWO: He kept Matt Stafford in round eight. Despite throwing a ton of interceptions in 2012, he still finished a decent 7th and was Matt’s best keeper option.
CATEGORY THREE: Tony Gonzalez never ages, thus Matt kept him in round 14. He didn’t disappoint, finishing second behind Gronk. He was clearly the best option for Matt.
BOB
CATEGORY ONE: Bob kept Ryan Mathews in the third and it did not work out. Mathews missed the beginning of the season with an injury and then nearly fumbled his way out of a starting job. He finished 23rd among backs, five spots behind Steven Jackson, who Bob could have kept one round earlier (although one round was actually a 22-pick difference).
CATEGORY TWO: He kept Jordy Nelson, but the whitey struggled to stay healthy and finished just 25th. Still, that was the best option.
CATEGORY THREE: He had to keep Cam Newton since there was no one else. Anyhow, Cam struggled early and finished the season 8th, but towards the end of the season, he was lighting things up and nearly carried Bob back to a third-straight title game. Nearly.
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